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Pollsters
3:40 PM, 23-Jun-2008
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Geez, with results like this maybe I should go into polling: Dnews says 3rd District "a tie".The story (which apparently published Saturday but I didn't read until after I'd written my own prediction post) is pretty much in line with my reasoning. Except I don't get paid a premium for it, we don't put a meaningless "copyright blah blah" front and center on my results, and my over/under doesn't get into nutso territory. The problem is that while the poll shows 44-40 in favor of Cannon, which is close (probably too close), the +/- could result in a 50-35 blowout. I mean, what's the point of even writing a story if the polling is that questionable? While I'm skeptical of Chaffetz's chances (though it's not impossible), someone has got Cannon's people riled up. They've been pelting me with e-mails for a week about old quotes from Chaffetz's college days, his alleged flip-flops since the convention and how bad his breath smells in the morning. (No, not the last part.) Do they have some numbers that have them scared? Robert Gehrke over at the Trib's Out of Context says there's perhaps a "whiff of desperation." (Here's the link. It's the "Unbelievable" entry. I'd link it, but this blog editor is not working so well with Firefox 3. Copy/paste blogs.sltrib.com/utahpolitics/) As I was forced into doing in the prediction post, I'm still going the safe route and saying Cannon will edge this one out. But I won't be surprised if Chaffetz pulls another rabbit out of the hat. I've got that feeling again. Leave a Comment { Last Page } { Page 10 of 67 } { Next Page } |
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